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When Special Elections are Special, and When They're Not
Lessons from a 2011 NY-09 Congressional Election and today's TN-07 Special. The eyes of much of the political class — in D.C., among the media, and nationwide — are focused on Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District special election today, and as is often the case, everyone will try to spin and interpret the results of an off year special election toward next year’s midterms. My home in Tennessee is in the 5 th District next door, but I am close enough to see all the ads, a
jeff5971
Dec 24 min read


California’s 2026 Ballot Measure Landscape Is Starting to Take Shape
Of the 34 ballot measures in the pipeline in California for 2026, here’s the real players. It’s late November in an off year, and for followers of ballot measure politics in the premier direct democracy state – California – that can mean only one thing. All eyes turn to the Attorney General and Secretary of State ballot measure tracking pages to see how the landscape is shaping up next year’s elections. The pipeline of measures working through the process reveals some of
jeff5971
Nov 2110 min read


When Both Sides Fear the People: The Red & Blue Attacks on Direct Democracy
Both conservative and progressive states have worked to undermine direct democracy when it has suited their purposes. It breeds cynicism with the electorate who jealously protect their power. For more than a century, direct democracy has served as a pressure valve in American politics — a way for citizens to act when elected officials refuse to. From California’s Progressive Era reforms to modern-day citizen petitions in Arizona, Maine, and Ohio, the ballot measure process ha
jeff5971
Nov 175 min read


What the 2025 Off-Year Elections Teach — Practical Lessons for Campaigns and Public Affairs
There's been a lot of great analysis of the lessons learned from the 2025 off-year elections. With a week to digest them, here's our practical takes. As always, our commentary is not for punditry purposes, but real lessons from that can be applied to future public affairs and political campaigns. Voters across the country weighed in last week, and the signal is clearer than the noise . Democrats performed strongly in an off-year following a Republican presidential win — no bi
jeff5971
Nov 127 min read


Olympia (WA) Voters Reject Proposition 1 — An Authentic Coalition Carried the Day
HexaCom Group Wins Another Tough Minimum Wage Issue on a Shoestring Budget by Efficiently Amplifying the Local Voices Opposed to the Proposal Olympia voters rejected Proposition 1 — the “Workers’ Bill of Rights” — in the November 4 election, by a fairly comfortable 45% Yes to 55% No margin . Our firm was proud to help to local coalition defeat this — on its face — well-meaning measure that would have had severe consequences for the community. The result tracks with what we’ve
jeff5971
Nov 54 min read


Strategies For Influencing Policy That Actually Work
Turn scattered advocacy into real results. A clear, data-smart playbook for policy influence — research, messaging, coalitions, and long-term leverage. Introduction In today’s fast-moving policy world, good intentions don’t move votes — disciplined strategy does. The difference between noise and impact is a plan that tells you what to do, when to do it, and who needs to hear it. This post lays out a practical approach to policy influence that turns challenges into opportuniti
jeff5971
Nov 43 min read


What Clues Will 2025 Elections Give Us Headed into 2026?
It’s Election Day in Virginia, New Jersey, New York City, California, and several other states a localities across the nation. There’s lots of good content out there on what to watch for to draw conclusions from the results tonight and what they may foretell for the 2026 elections. Here’s my take: California Prop 50 – Not much to see here. Prop 50 will likely get 60% or more, as we’ve reported for a few weeks. Might be interesting to see how the results track again Newsom’
jeff5971
Nov 42 min read


AI in Campaigns: Using the Tools and Complying with the Law
Staying on top of the latest campaign tech also means staying on top of the latest laws governing that tech. A recent episode of Eric Wilson’s indispensable “Campaign Trends” podcast highlighted this reminder to us on a current ballot measure campaign. Case in point, we’re on the ballot tomorrow in a state that we haven’t worked in for almost a decade, and Eric’s discussion a few weeks back triggered a reminder that we have the burden for ourselves and on behalf of our clien
jeff5971
Nov 32 min read


The Fading Faith in the American Dream
And the Implications for Political and Public Affairs Campaigns When only 20% of Americans still believe in the American Dream – as a recent Wall Street Journal poll reports – we should treat that not as another interesting data point, but as an alarm bell for the republic. Because belief in the American Dream isn’t just about optimism, it’s the cultural operating system that has powered this country for more than two centuries. And when faith in it fades, nearly everythi
jeff5971
Oct 204 min read


Much More on the Ballot in California’s Prop 50 than “Nonpartisan” Redistricting
Control of the House of Representatives, Donald Trump’s Presidency, and Gavin Newsom’s Nascent White House Aspirations Are the Many...
jeff5971
Oct 73 min read


Dueling Ads Reveal Competing Strategies In California’s Prop 50 Campaign
“AOC” vs. “The Governator” in a Battle of Competing Strategies In the titanic Prop 50 campaign in California (Would suspend the Citizens...
jeff5971
Sep 262 min read


John Burton and Charlie Kirk Taught Lessons We Should All Heed
Between a busy travel week last week, and events having my mind on other things, I have not been able to turn back to our blog series on...
jeff5971
Sep 154 min read


Flawless Execution in Adelanto Brought Our Strategy and Plan to Life – and the Campaign to Victory
Execution Is Not Easy – But It Should Feel Obvious It’s not quite right to say that the Execution Phase of a campaign is the easy...
jeff5971
Aug 215 min read


The Battle Not Fought – Winning A Campaign Without Firing a Shot
How we helped stop a Steamboat Springs Vacancy Tax before it ever reached the ballot “The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy...
jeff5971
Aug 144 min read


A Quick Plan to Defeat the Vacancy Tax
Six weeks. That’s all we had from first polling numbers to Election Day — and only 12 days from polling to the start of voting. In the...
jeff5971
Aug 84 min read


Building the Narrative to Take Down a Tax – The Adelanto Case Study: Strategy Phase
Research to Strategy: How Campaigns are Won In our last post in this series , we explored how deep research gave us a great deal to test...
jeff5971
Jul 315 min read


Count Me on Team Jensen
Universal Basic Income? AI use taxes? Some in Silicon Valley are bracing for mass human obsolescence. But NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang — and...
jeff5971
Jul 143 min read


Four Hot Takes and Lessons from NYC’s Mayoral Primary
And Why They Matter in All Political and Public Affairs Campaigns Last night’s Democratic primary for New York City Mayor signal both...
jeff5971
Jun 254 min read


Why AI Will Never Be an Elite Campaign Strategist or Creative Director
This article on Axios today is very consistent with what I have been saying and thinking about the impact of AI, especially in my case,...
jeff5971
Jun 183 min read


How Research Set the Stage for the Overwhelming Defeat of a Measure that Previously Got 66% Yes
Over the last several weeks, we’ve reviewed the six phases of a HexaCom Group campaign, our approach to each, and how they work together...
jeff5971
Jun 137 min read
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